Despite internal party dynamics, high expectations from his deputy DK Shivakumar, and public pressure, Siddaramaiah remains firmly in place as Karnataka’s Chief Minister. Here's a breakdown of the possible reasons behind his political longevity in the top post.
🔹 1. Strong Mass Connect and Legacy Appeal
Siddaramaiah, a seasoned OBC leader, continues to enjoy wide support, particularly among AHINDA (minorities, backward classes, and Dalits). His legacy of welfare schemes like Anna Bhagya and Ksheera Bhagya still resonates with the masses.
🔹 2. Congress High Command’s Trust
The Congress leadership in Delhi sees Siddaramaiah as a stable, experienced administrator. With the 2024 Lok Sabha results being less-than-ideal for Congress, they may be avoiding a leadership shake-up in a key southern state.
🔹 3. DK Shivakumar’s Patience Strategy
Though Deputy CM DK Shivakumar is an aspirant for the top job, he may be choosing to wait until a smoother transition—possibly after the BBMP or Zilla Panchayat elections—to avoid damaging the party’s public image with internal friction.
🔹 4. Balanced Governance Amid Coalition Pressures
Even with internal rivalries, Siddaramaiah has managed to keep a functional cabinet with adequate representation across castes and regions, avoiding the kind of chaos that can trigger a leadership crisis.
🔹 5. No Major Governance Failure
While criticism exists, there hasn’t been any significant policy failure or law-and-order collapse under Siddaramaiah’s watch in this term. That makes it harder to justify removing him based purely on performance.
🔹 6. Control Over the Legislature Party
Siddaramaiah reportedly commands the support of a majority of MLAs, giving him internal leverage over any leadership reshuffle discussions. Congress wouldn't want to risk rebellion or defections.
🔹 7. Upcoming Political Calculations
With 2026 Rajya Sabha and local elections in sight, the Congress may want Siddaramaiah to manage electoral strategy and transition leadership post-elections, ensuring stability in the run-up.
📌 FAQs
Q1. Will DK Shivakumar become CM soon?
A: While he’s a strong contender, there's no official timeline, and the party appears focused on stability for now.
Q2. Is there internal conflict in Karnataka Congress?
A: Tensions exist, but so far they’ve been managed behind closed doors without public fallout.
Q3. What is Siddaramaiah’s biggest strength?
A: His mass base among backward classes and proven administrative record.
Q4. Has the Congress promised rotational CM?
A: Informally, yes. There have been reports of a power-sharing formula, but no public declaration.
Q5. Could leadership change before 2026?
A: It's possible, but would depend on performance, internal consensus, and political calculations post-upcoming elections.
published on 2nd july
Publisher : SMITA
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