A rare post-monsoon cyclonic storm, Cyclone Shakhti, has formed over the northeast Arabian Sea and is now churning off the Gujarat coast. While it is expected to remain offshore, its influence is already being felt in sea conditions, rainfall forecasts, and maritime alerts. This blog breaks down the latest updates, potential impacts, and precautionary measures for coastal communities.
1. Latest Updates & Trajectory
The storm is located about 300 km west of Dwarka and 360 km west of Porbandar.
Moving west-northwest at approximately 8 km/h.
Forecasts project it will strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm by Saturday before gradually moving away into the central Arabian Sea.
The system is expected to maintain an offshore path, minimizing the likelihood of a direct landfall, though its peripheral effects will impact coastal zones.
2. Warnings & Key Impacts
Sea & Maritime Conditions
Seas along and off the Gujarat and North Maharashtra coast will be rough to very rough.
Fishermen and small craft are strongly advised to stay ashore until the storm subsides.
Rainfall & Winds
Coastal Gujarat districts may see heavy rain, squally winds, and thunderstorms over the next few days.
Wind speeds are expected in the range of 45–55 km/h, with gusts up to 65 km/h in coastal regions.
Ahmedabad and inland areas could experience thunderstorms, cloud cover, and brief showers, with slightly moderated temperatures.
Disruptions & Risks
Marine trade and port operations may face restrictions or delays.
Flooding, waterlogging, tree falls, and power outages are possible in low-lying coastal settlements.
Transportation along coastal highways may be impacted during heavy rainfall spells.
3. Historical Context
Cyclones in the Arabian Sea are less frequent than in the Bay of Bengal, making Shakhti’s formation noteworthy.
Earlier storms such as Tauktae (2021) and Biparjoy (2023) caused significant coastal damage in Gujarat and Maharashtra, highlighting the need for preparedness.
The storm underscores changing climatic patterns and the potential for post-monsoon cyclonic activity in the western Indian Ocean.
4. Recommendations for Coastal Communities
Avoid Sea Travel – Fishermen and small craft should stay off the water.
Secure Coastal Infrastructure – Nets, boats, and equipment should be moved to safe zones.
Follow Local Advisories – Keep updated with district authorities’ alerts for rainfall, evacuation, and safety measures.
Prepare for Rain & Disruptions – Clear drainage paths, have backup power sources, and avoid travel during peak wind/rain hours.
Monitor Storm Updates – Follow official meteorological bulletins for real-time updates.
5. What to Expect in the Next Few Days
October 5–7: Peak intensity offshore, with maximum sea and wind effects along the coast.
After October 7: The storm is expected to weaken and drift away, reducing threats.
Inland rainfall may taper gradually, though localized storms may linger.
FAQs
Q1: Will Cyclone Shakhti make landfall in Gujarat?
No direct landfall is expected. The storm remains offshore while its fringes bring rainfall and rough seas.
Q2: Which districts in Gujarat are most at risk?
Coastal districts including Dwarka, Porbandar, Kutch, Jamnagar, and Saurashtra’s coastal belt.
Q3: How long will the storm’s influence last?
Maritime and coastal impacts are expected 3–4 days through October 7.
Q4: Is this the first cyclone of the season in the Arabian Sea?
Yes, Cyclone Shakhti is the first named cyclonic storm in the Arabian Sea post-monsoon this year.
Published on : 4th October
Published by : SMITA
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