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HDB Financial may be cheaper than Bajaj Fin, but what about returns?

Comparison chart of HDB Financial and Bajaj Finance showing stock return trends and valuation ratios

HDB Financial may be cheaper than Bajaj Fin, but what about returns?

Vizzve Admin

HDB Financial May Be Cheaper Than Bajaj Fin, But What About Returns?

The recent IPO of HDB Financial Services, a subsidiary of HDFC Bank, has raised one key question among retail and institutional investors: Is HDB Financial a cheaper yet high-potential alternative to Bajaj Finance?

On the surface, HDB appears attractively priced. But does a lower valuation translate to better long-term returns? Let’s analyze.

1. Valuation Metrics: The Price Advantage

HDB Financial debuted on the stock exchange with:

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio: ~28x

Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio: ~3.5x

Compare that with Bajaj Finance, which trades at:

P/E: ~40x

P/B: ~7x

Verdict: On valuation, HDB clearly looks cheaper. But valuation is just one part of the story.

2. Growth Potential: A Mixed Picture

Bajaj Finance has demonstrated:

Compounded profit growth of over 25% CAGR over 5 years

Dominance in consumer lending and cross-selling via digital platforms

A robust digital transformation and ecosystem approach

HDB Financial, by contrast:

Focuses more on SME lending, used vehicle finance, and gold loans

Has a broader retail + enterprise blend, but less digitized

Needs to catch up on tech and scale compared to Bajaj

Verdict: Bajaj Finance is a proven growth engine. HDB has room to grow, but execution will be key.

3. Asset Quality and Risk

HDB Financial’s GNPA (Gross Non-Performing Assets): ~2.1–2.5%

Bajaj Finance’s GNPA: ~1.1%

Bajaj’s focus on salaried borrowers and digital underwriting gives it better credit quality metrics.

Verdict: Bajaj Finance remains more efficient and less risky, though HDB is improving its underwriting models.

4. Return on Equity (RoE)

Bajaj Finance: ~22–24% RoE

HDB Financial: ~14–15% RoE (post-listing estimates)

While HDB is backed by HDFC Bank, it has yet to match Bajaj’s return metrics.

5. Parentage and Market Perception

Bajaj Finance has carved an independent brand with strong recall.

HDB Financial still leans on HDFC Bank’s brand equity.

Institutional investors trust HDFC’s pedigree, but Bajaj’s agility and market reputation are unmatched in the NBFC space.

6. Listing Pop Doesn’t Guarantee Long-Term Outperformance

HDB Financial’s IPO listed with a 13% premium, while Bajaj Finance has delivered multibagger returns over the past decade. A good IPO debut doesn’t guarantee sustained returns—fundamentals do.

Conclusion: Should You Choose HDB Over Bajaj Finance?

If you are a value investor looking for an entry into India’s NBFC space at a lower valuation, HDB Financial could offer medium- to long-term upside—especially as it expands tech and improves return ratios.

However, if you’re looking for consistent compounding, proven scalability, and a more mature business model, Bajaj Finance remains the stronger play.

FAQs

1. Is HDB Financial cheaper than Bajaj Finance?

Yes, in terms of valuation ratios like P/E and P/B, HDB Financial is currently more affordable.

2. Does a lower valuation mean higher returns?

Not necessarily. While a lower valuation can signal opportunity, return depends on earnings growth, execution, and market confidence.

3. Which company has better asset quality?

Bajaj Finance has superior asset quality with lower NPAs and better credit underwriting efficiency.

4. Is HDB Financial a safe investment?

It’s backed by HDFC Bank and shows stable fundamentals, but investors should monitor its credit growth strategy and digital transformation.

5. Which is better for long-term investment: HDB or Bajaj Fin?

Bajaj Finance is more established and reliable for long-term returns. HDB Financial offers potential but is more suited for those with a moderate risk appetite.

Published on: July 02, 2025
Uploaded by: Pankaj

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