📉 Markets Today: GIFT Nifty Slips, Crude Falls — 8 Key Cues Driving Opening Sentiment
Indian markets are likely to open on a cautious note on Thursday, June 13, 2025, as global investors remain wary of rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, shifting oil dynamics, and a looming US Fed decision. GIFT Nifty, which serves as an early indicator for domestic markets, was down nearly 45 points in early trade.
Here are 8 key cues you need to know before the opening bell:
🔑 1. GIFT Nifty Indicates a Soft Start
GIFT Nifty futures were trading around 24,780, down 45 points, hinting at a subdued opening for Nifty50. Market volatility may persist as traders digest overnight cues.
🛢️ 2. Crude Oil Drops Amid Middle East Tensions
Crude prices dipped as traders weighed the demand outlook and OPEC production signals, despite Israel-Iran tensions.
Brent Crude: $81.20/bbl
WTI Crude: $77.95/bbl
This is a mild relief for Indian oil importers.
🏦 3. US Fed Pauses Rate Hikes
The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but hinted at fewer rate cuts in 2025. This has led to a mixed reaction in global equity and bond markets.
💹 4. Wall Street Ends Mixed
Dow Jones: -0.16%
S&P 500: +0.17%
Nasdaq: +0.23%
Tech stocks saw mild buying while bank and energy counters lagged.
💼 5. FII-DII Activity
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) remained net sellers in the Indian cash market, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) continued to provide support.
🌍 6. Asian Markets in the Red
Most Asian indices opened lower amid geopolitical tension and Fed anxiety.
Nikkei: -0.3%
Hang Seng: -0.5%
Kospi: -0.2%
📊 7. Currency Watch
The Indian Rupee may remain under pressure due to global uncertainty and oil prices. The Dollar Index is trading strong near 105.
🏗️ 8. Sectoral Focus Today
Defence & Oil Marketing Companies: Watch for reaction to Israel-Iran news
IT & Pharma: May remain stable on weak rupee outlook
Rate-Sensitive Stocks: In focus post Fed pause signals
📌 Market Outlook
Traders should brace for volatility and closely monitor geopolitical headlines. Analysts recommend adopting a stock-specific strategy and using any dips for selective buying in defensive and export-oriented names.
❓ FAQ Section
Q1. Why is GIFT Nifty falling today?
GIFT Nifty is tracking weakness in global markets due to rising geopolitical concerns and cautious Fed commentary.
Q2. Will crude oil impact Indian markets today?
Yes. Lower crude prices may support oil-sensitive sectors, but geopolitical risks could limit gains.
Q3. How did US markets close overnight?
Mixed. Nasdaq rose slightly, but Dow ended in the red due to Fed concerns and geopolitical jitters.
Q4. What should investors watch out for today?
Keep an eye on defence, oil, and IT stocks. Watch for further updates on the Israel-Iran conflict and global bond yields.
Q5. What are the support and resistance levels for Nifty today?
Support is seen near 24,650 and resistance around 24,950–25,000.
🔚 Final Takeaway
Markets are likely to remain cautious in early trade amid global macro uncertainty, with GIFT Nifty pointing to a muted start. Stay alert, follow risk management, and track geopolitical updates closely.
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Reported by Benny on June 19, 2025.