India’s monsoon outlook for 2025 is showing a familiar twist. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast:
Normal rainfall for August
Above-normal (surplus) rainfall in September
While this may bring relief from early-season drought fears, it also presents challenges and opportunities for both rural and urban India.
What “Normal” and “Surplus” Mean
Normal Rainfall (August): Around 94%–106% of Long Period Average (LPA)
Surplus Rainfall (September): Above 110% of LPA
The shift in rain intensity from August to September can compress the cropping window and increase flood risks in cities if not planned carefully.
For Farmers: Rethinking Sowing and Harvesting
What to Plan:
Delay late Kharif sowing until mid-August to avoid early dry spells and late floods.
Focus on short-duration paddy varieties, millets, and legumes.
Prepare for water-logging in low-lying fields in September.
What to Watch:
Fertilizer leaching during excessive rains
Pest outbreaks post-heavy rainfall (e.g., stem borers, leaf hoppers)
For Urban Areas: Drainage and Water Management
What Cities Must Do:
Desilt stormwater drains before end of August.
Map flood-prone zones and set up community alerts for intense rainfall.
Improve reservoir water release coordination (to prevent overflow in September).
What to Watch:
Flooding in poorly drained zones
Overflow of untreated sewage into rivers/lakes
Power cuts and public transport breakdowns during heavy rain events
Why the Shift Matters
Monsoon Compression: More rain in a shorter time = higher flood and crop damage risk
Delayed Monsoon Withdrawal: Can affect Rabi sowing timelines in North and Central India
Strain on Infrastructure: Urban and rural systems may not be built for sudden surges
Long-Term Suggestions
Diversify Cropping Cycles: Promote adaptive farming based on evolving rainfall data.
Smart Water Storage: Use surplus September rain to recharge aquifers and fill check dams.
Climate-Responsive Planning: State disaster response teams must align plans with real-time IMD alerts.
Final Word
The IMD’s forecast of normal August rainfall and surplus September rain in 2025 is a call to action, not complacency. For India’s farmers, cities, and planners, this pattern brings both promise and peril—but with smart planning, we can make the monsoon work for us, not against us.
Published on : 2nd August
Published by : SMITA
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