India’s monsoon patterns are changing—and 2025 is no exception. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), August 2025 is expected to receive average rainfall, while September will see above-normal showers.
This reversal of traditional rain patterns is not a one-time fluke. It reflects a growing shift in how India’s monsoon is behaving in the 21st century.
August vs September: The Forecast
☁️ August 2025
Rainfall expected to be average or slightly below normal
Breaks in monsoon wind patterns due to El Niño weakening
Localized rainfall, especially in Eastern and Northeastern India
🌧️ September 2025
Likely to be wetter than usual
Strong revival of the monsoon towards late August
Influence of La Niña onset improving rainfall distribution
What’s Causing This Shift?
1. Delayed Monsoon Trough Movement
Normally, the monsoon weakens by mid-September.
But in recent years, low-pressure systems are forming later, pushing heavy rain into September.
2. El Niño to La Niña Transition
El Niño suppresses rainfall. But as La Niña conditions strengthen, monsoon currents revive strongly—often in September.
3. Climate Change & Warming Oceans
Warmer oceans in the Indian and Pacific region lead to unpredictable rainfall windows.
The once-predictable four-month monsoon is now more spread out.
Why This Matters: Impact on India
✅ For Farmers:
Crops like paddy, sugarcane, cotton, and pulses benefit from September rains.
But excess rain can delay harvests and cause crop damage in flood-prone zones.
✅ For Urban India:
Cities like Mumbai, Chennai, and Bengaluru may see flooding risks in September.
Urban drainage needs to remain active beyond August.
✅ For Policy Makers:
Planning for water storage, dam releases, and agricultural subsidies must extend into October.
Vizzve Take: Be Financially Monsoon-Ready
Insurance: Protect your home, car, and crops from late-season flood damage.
Emergency Fund: With unpredictable weather, keep 3–6 months of living expenses ready.
Loans & Credit: Delayed harvest or income? Explore low-interest short-term loans with platforms like Vizzve.
FAQs
Q1. Is it normal for September to be wetter than August?
No. Traditionally, August is rainier, but climate shifts and Pacific Ocean patterns are reversing trends.
Q2. Will all states see heavy rain in September?
No. Central and Southern India may see more rain, while Northwest regions may still remain dry.
Q3. Will monsoon extend into October?
Possibly. In recent years, monsoon withdrawal has delayed, especially with La Niña conditions.
Published on : 4th August
Published by : SMITA
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