Rift in Siddaramaiah Camp: What’s Going On
Recent developments within the ruling Indian National Congress (Congress) in Karnataka suggest growing cracks in the camp of Siddaramaiah. According to a recent report, a senior aide has signalled that the camp would accept DK Shivakumar for the top post — if the party high-command decides on a leadership change.
This admission marks a clear shift from earlier positions where Siddaramaiah’s camp insisted he would stay the full five-year term.
Why This Matters — The Stakes for Congress in Karnataka
Intensified power struggle: The comment by the aide adds credibility to speculation about a possible mid-term leadership transition. Sources say about 10 MLAs loyal to Shivakumar are already in Delhi demanding change.
“2028 formula” proposal under pressure: Supporters of Siddaramaiah earlier floated a “2028 formula” — projecting Shivakumar as CM only before the next Assembly elections — but the pressure from Shivakumar’s camp now threatens that plan.
Risk of internal discontent and instability: The unfolding tussle could erode party cohesion, with some Congress leaders publicly expressing support for alternatives if the top post is vacated.
High Command verdict looms: Ultimately, the decision rests with Congress’s central leadership — making the coming weeks critical for Karnataka’s political stability.
Recent Signals: What Has Changed
The aide’s remark is “one of the strongest signals yet from within Siddaramaiah’s camp” indicating openness to Shivakumar heading the government.
Meanwhile, Shivakumar continues to maintain that only what he and Siddaramaiah say — and what the high command decides — matters when it comes to any leadership change.
The swirling speculation has prompted some ministers to push for multiple Deputy Chief Ministers or alternative power-sharing formulas, reflecting the growing complexity of the internal dynamics.
What Could Happen Next
| Scenario | Likelihood / Observations |
|---|---|
| Top-post transition to Shivakumar soon | Growing support, MLA pressure, and aide’s statement suggest this is possible — especially if the high command intervenes. |
| Siddaramaiah completes full term, delayed transition to 2028 | Still plausible — some in the camp prefer stability and have floated election-time transition plans. |
| Compromise via reshuffle: multiple DCMs, KPCC leadership changes | Discussed internally — could be used to diffuse pressure without full change. |
| Prolonged uncertainty leading to factionalism or diminished governance | Real risk — political instability could impact administration and public perception. |
FAQ
Q: Did Siddaramaiah’s camp officially accept Shivakumar as future CM?
A: No official decision yet — but a senior aide has indicated acceptance if the party high command approves a transition.
Q: Is there a formal agreement (power-sharing deal) between Siddaramaiah and Shivakumar?
A: According to public statements from high-ranking leaders, no confirmed pact exists. The final decision rests with the high command.
Q: What is the “2028 formula”?
A: It’s a proposal by some in Siddaramaiah’s camp to delay leadership change until the next Assembly elections in 2028 — making Shivakumar the campaign face, rather than immediate CM.
Q: How serious is the pressure from Shivakumar’s camp?
A: Quite serious — multiple MLAs loyal to him have already gone to Delhi seeking support for a change, indicating active lobbying.
Q: Who will decide on the CM post?
A: The central leadership of Congress will make the final call; all state-level claims and internal ambitions are subordinate to that decision.
source credit : Sagay Raj
Published on : 27TH November
Published by : SARANYA
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